Conf = Little East State = CT
Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jennifer ThomasGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.1908569 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 H Coast Guard NEWMAC (13- 5, 85.5) 9-10 228 H Smith NEWMAC ( 9-10, 79.2) 19-11 302 A Farmingdale State Skyline (11- 9, 77.7) 15- 8 306 H Hartford Commonwealth ( 8- 8, 75.7) 19-11 311 A Marymount Atlantic East (11- 7, 81.0) 13-11 313 A Hood MAC Commonwea ( 7-10, 78.8) 11-12 323 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 2-22 327 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 8-15 330 A Plymouth State Little East (13- 7, 82.1) 11-10 403 H Westfield State MASCAC (12- 8, 85.5) 7-11 406 H Southern Maine Little East ( 6- 8, 75.1) 19- 6 410 A Worcester State MASCAC ( 9-10, 77.4) 16-13 413 A Keene State Little East (12- 6, 78.7) 11- 8 416 A Massachusetts-Dartmout Little East ( 9- 8, 71.5) 15- 3 420 H Castleton Little East ( 2-14, 62.8) 20- 6 424 H Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 9- 9, 76.0) 19- 8 427 A Rhode Island College Little East ( 2-13, 55.5) 20- 2 502 H Plymouth State Little East (13- 7, 82.1) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Coast Guard 9-10 -1 -2 1.71 228 H Smith 19-11 8 3 + 3.38 302 A Farmingdale State 15- 8 7 3 + 3.06 306 H Hartford 19-11 8 7 0.00 311 A Marymount 13-11 2 0 1.34 313 A Hood 11-12 -1 2 - -3.85 323 A Tufts 2-22 -20 -15 0.00 327 A Connecticut College 8-15 -7 -7 0.00 330 A Plymouth State 11-10 1 0 1.45 403 H Westfield State 7-11 -4 -2 -1.29 406 H Southern Maine 19- 6 13 7 0.00 410 A Worcester State 16-13 3 4 -1.24 413 A Keene State 11- 8 3 2 0.12 416 A Massachusetts-Dartmout 15- 3 12 10 0.00 420 H Castleton 20- 6 14 19 0.00 424 H Eastern Connecticut 19- 8 11 6 0.20 427 A Rhode Island College 20- 2 18 26 0.00 502 H Plymouth State 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Plymouth State 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.74 313 A Hood 11-12 -1 2 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Smith 19-11 8 3 + 3.38 302 A Farmingdale State 15- 8 7 3 + 3.06
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 82.21 Power Rank................. 78 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.76 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 93 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6051 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 98 RPI Rating............... .5580 RPI Rank................... 72 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 272 Selection sum ........... 253 Selection Rank ............ 73 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 87 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 83 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.0